Sunday, June 7, 2009

Money Management in Currency Trading (Part I)

By Ahmad Hassam

Many forex traders start trading live before understanding and learning good money management rules. Develop a few good money management rules and practices them on your demo account before starting live trading. Developing your money management rules mean how much of your money, you are willing to risk on one trade. It also means determining how many contracts per trade your risk tolerance allows?

The important thing in trading is to learn how you can improve your investment results by making small changes to your trading strategies. Good money management rules can make the difference between becoming a successful investor in the long run or an unsuccessful one.

Have you ever played poker or watched it being played online or on TV! If you have then you will never see good poker players play all their cards on a single bet. Good poker players know that by risking only a small amount of their money on a single bet, they can win or lose but will still play the next hand. If they put everything on the table on a single bet, they will have to be 100% sure of winning, an impossible thing. You can never be 100% sure. Life is the game of probabilities.

You must know this that currency trading is far more complicated as compared to playing poker. You will be dealing with hundreds and hundreds of variables that can affect the markets. What to talk of only 52 cards. You must understand and implement good money management rules in order to succeed at forex trading in the long run.

There are many pitfalls that you will run across while trading. A trader is constantly under the pressure of two emotions; greed and fear. When you win a trade, you become greedy and want to risk more to win big. You want to strike it rich in a few trades. This drives you to take more and more risk.

When you lose a trade, you become afraid to risk enough of your money on the next trade. Fear takes over and impairs your decision making, making you lose confidence in your judgment and decision making. Lets see how fear and greed can play havoc with your trading.

Lets suppose you have a run of successful trades. You are feeling overconfident and you are not satisfied by risking only 2% of your account on a single trade. You want to risk more on the trade. The more you have in a trade, the more you will make if you are right. You increase your risk to 5%, you win. You increase it further to 10%, you once again win. You finally decide to put 25% of your equity at risk on a next trade, but misfortune strikes. Your successful run comes to an end. You lose.

Assume you had a $100,000 trading account. You had foolishly risked 25% or $25,000 on one trade that you desperately wanted to win. Losing $25,000 means you have only $75,000 in your account left. How much you need to make to get back the original balance of $100,000. You need to make $25,000 again to go back to the original balance. It means you will have to make 25,000/75,000= 33%. So you risked 25% but now you need 33% to get back your original amount.

Many investors try to risk more to recover their original loss, ending up losing more and more. Eventually those investors destroy their accounts and are out of trading forever. There are other investors who try to reduce risk even further on making a loss. Eventually they divorce themselves from any opportunity for meaningful growth in their accounts.

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